The second wave in recent weeks has submerged the healthcare system, leaving hospitals struggling to cope and critical drugs and oxygen in short supply.
But infections now seem to be slowing down. On Monday, cases fell below 200,000 for the first time since 14 April.
Experts believe that at a national level, the wave is disappear.
The seven-day rolling average of new reported cases during the wave peaked at 392,000 and has been on a steady decline ever since for the past two weeks, according to Dr Rijo M John, a health economist.
The real number of fatalities might be much higher as many deaths are not officially recorded.
Dr Banaji said daily deaths had not yet obviously peaked because there’s a time lag between cases peaking and deaths peaking.
Even if the second wave appears to be waning for India as a whole, it is by no means true for all states.
It appears to have crested in states such as Maharashtra, Delhi and Chhattisgarh, but is still rising in Tamil Nadu, for example, as in much of the north east; and the situation in Andhra Pradesh and West Bengal is unclear.
India is only the third in the world to record more than 300,000 deaths – behind the US and Brazil.
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